Oil to hit over $150 within 25 years – OPEC

© Ramzi Boudina
The average price for crude will reach $155 per barrel in nominal terms by 2040, which is the equivalent of $92 in real prices in 2015, according to OPEC’s annual World Oil Outlook report released on Tuesday.

© OPEC

The producer group assumes that the price for the OPEC Reference Basket (ORB), the blend benchmark used by the cartel’s members, will be around $40 this year. The price recovery will continue with $5 increments every year, reaching over $60 a barrel up to 2021.

READ MORE: Oil prices slightly rebound after last week’s fall

The global demand for crude in the medium-term is expected to increase up to 99.2 million barrels a day (mbpd) by 2021. According to long-term projections, demand will rise by 16.4 percent in 2015-2040 to reach 109.4 mbpd.

“Global oil demand growth comes mainly from the road transportation sector, petrochemicals and aviation,” the report says.

© OPEC

Total global primary energy demand is expected to advance by 40 percent in 25 years – reaching more than 382 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) – with developing countries to provide a major part of the boost.

OPEC experts say the crude market has continued to readjust to the changing industry landscape since January, when prices fell to $27 per barrel. Since then, they have rebounded to the current $45-$50.

“During 2016, the market has shown signs that fundamentals are gradually rebalancing. However, despite non-OPEC supply contracting considerably, global demand remaining robust and the pace of the stock build decelerating, it is clear that instability and volatility remain,” the group’s report says.