It is highly unlikely that events in the Arab world are orchestrated from the USA, believes Matthew Rojansky, expert in US and Russian national security and nuclear weapons policies from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
“I am not a believer in conspiracy theories,” he said. “I think when you listen to people who believe in these theories, it makes the United States sound like the most effective global actor in history and I just frankly do not believe that that is possible. What I will say is I think it is probably the case, as in many changes of power throughout history, that the United States and others have helped to create an environment in which those who are coming out on the streets in Libya, in Egypt and Tunisia feel that they have some international support.”According to Rojansky, the ongoing processes in the region might, indeed, bring about a geopolitical change. “You can imagine a scenario where Egypt, for example, despite having endured the transition period, it is very big, it is an economically significant, historical leader in the Arab world, you could imagine it coming out of the scenario actually strengthened in some ways, maybe being a leader of a new block within the Middle East to sort of new orientation of more popular democracies or more popular governments. I could see that happening.”