US promoting Iran sanctions in China
Published: 11 January, 2012, 07:55
Edited: 11 January, 2012, 13:46
US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner (L) shakes hands with Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan (R) before their meeting at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on January 10, 2012 (AFP Photo / Andy WONG)
(52.5Mb) embed videoTAGS: Oil, Politics, Iran, China, USA, Bill Dod, Marina Dzhashi, Global economy
While Iran is seeking support in South America, the US is trying to convince the world’s second largest economy, China, to back its sanctions aimed at Iran's Central Bank and oil industry, though it seems unlikely Beijing will be swayed.
US Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner met with the Chinese President's Special Representative and Vice Premier Wang Qishan in Beijing on Tuesday.
Wang underlined the importance of mutual cooperation and ensuring global economic recovery. He said the US and China had a lot of issues to talk about in the areas of economy, finance, trade and investment
Geithner stressed that stable economic development conforms to the interests of the two countries.
“We are always looking for ways to expand trade and investment with China to strengthen our economic ties,” he told his Chinese counterpart.
On Wednesday, Timothy Geithner has met Vice President Xi Jinping who is in line to become China's next leader. And Premier Wen Jiabao, and Vice Premier Li Keqiang.
China is the world’s biggest energy consumer and buys almost one-third of Iran’s oil exports. And it has rejected the US sanctions as a tool against Tehran’s nuclear program.
China’s deputy foreign minister Cui Tiankai said on Monday that China's oil imports “have nothing to do with the nuclear issue.”
“We should not mix issues of different natures, and China's legitimate concerns and demands should be respected,” he said.
Beijing earlier stressed it supports nuclear nonproliferation efforts, but believes Iran is entitled to develop peaceful nuclear energy. It called for talks between Iran and the West in order to build mutual trust.
China is against unilateral sanctions against Iran, noting that dialog is the only way to resolve the remaining issues over Tehran's nuclear energy program.
Later on Wednesday, after talks in Beijing, Geithner is expected to visit Japan, another major consumer of Iranian oil.
Professor Michael Klare from Hampshire College told RT that China will listen politely but will not follow US advice and will not turn against Iran.
“I don’t think that the Chinese are inclined at this moment to take orders from Washington especially since President Obama last week announced a new defense policy that is implicitly anti-Chinese.”
Klare expressed doubts that China sees Iran’s nuclear ambitions as a threat because in his view the few nuclear weapons Iran might conceivably have are in fact “an insurance policy” against possible US attacks. “I don’t think Iran would ever use them in an offensive manner against anybody else.”
The Chinese are more worried that instability in the Persian Gulf would create an economic crisis and eventually harm their economy, he explained.
Klare believes that the US will be trying to convince China that it may fall victim of the actions of Iran’s leadership, such as its closing of Strait of Hormuz, for example. “The US will try very hard to portray this as defense of the freedom of the seas, not as an attack on Iran.”
Professor of Political Science at the City University of Hong Kong Joseph Cheng concurs that Chinese authorities will probably promise to consider the American request to limit its oil purchases from Iran, but will not resort to any particular action.
“Ultimately I do not believe that Chinese authorities would like to be seen cooperating with the US to exert pressure on Iran,” he told RT. “Iran after all, remains a very important energy supplier to China. Especially because Iran’s relations with the US are not good and Iran has a specific strategic interest to maintain close relations with China.”
Francis Lun, managing director at Lyncean Holdings, an investment company in Hong Kong, is convinced that though the US has some incentives to persuade China buy less oil from Tehran, it is very unlikely to work out.
“There are a lot of things the US can offer in return,” he told RT. “One of the things is an agreement to consider the new Chinese economy as a market economy. It would be very difficult then for the US to impose countervailing duty on Chinese goods. The US and China are the biggest each other’s partners [sic] and there are a lot of things US can do to entice China to buy less from Iran”.
“But on the geopolitical sense it is very hard to imagine that China will comply with the request from the US, because US is trying to impose [sanctions] unilaterally,” he went on. “And China wants a balance of power in the world. It is dangerous for one country to be so powerful, with everyone have to play a subservient role to the US.”
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China and other independent block of countries that rely on oil imports are realizing that if the US can block Iran’s current oil export with the participation of major oil producing countries in offsetting the effect of sanctions to EU, Japan, India… then the US can also block the current flow of oil to the independent block with the participation of the same major oil exporting countries. Therefore, agreeing with the US sanctions is not an option. In the short term, the fixed amount of oil supply has to be rationed to the US allies, participating in sanctions. The more countries that join sanctions the smaller the rations become. The independent block is strategically inclined to buy more and more Iranian oil as others join the US sanctions against Iran while Iran continues to have more oil to export to the independent block. If the independent block fails to shift its oil procurement to absorb Iran’s export, then the alternative is in becoming a recipient of a continually smaller oil ration with the US in the position of even blocking that ration for any reason at any time. So, there is no option but moving towards a new polarized world order of US allies v. the independent block of countries.
Jeremiah the only reason China buys US bonds is because it needs to invest all the excess reserves from the trade (im)balance. China is desperately trying to reduce it's exposure to US bonds because they give an incredibly low rate of return (and the US economy is a basketcase) but they can't get rid of them fast enough.
They certainly do not rely on the interest earned on any of their foreign investments as they such a small percentage of their GDP.






Geitner should not be in China, he should be swinging at the end of a rope.