Italian crisis: Impossible to overcome while inside eurozone?
Published: 13 November, 2011, 23:24
TAGS: Markets, EU, Interview, Crisis, Politics, Europe, Currencies, Rory Suchet, Economy, Finance, Greece
Silvio Berlusconi's party agreed that former EU commissioner Mario Monti should try to form a short-term government. This, however, will not help Italy emerge from the crisis while it is part of the eurozone, according to writer Charles Crawford.
Italy's President, Giorgio Napolitano, is holding meetings with senior politicians to form a caretaker government. But according to writer and private consultant Charles Crawford, the problem is there are many factors affecting Italy that are not really under its control because it is in the Eurozone, and therefore it cannot avert financial disaster.
“One of the things they have to do is satisfy certain objective targets, namely finding a plan to pay back the money they owe to investors round the planet. The other thing they have to do is come up with subjective factors, namely to have people in charge of Italy who are convincing and credible. I think it is fair to say that Berlusconi had stopped being convincing and credible and Monti looks like a good choice,” he explained.
Greece has also installed a new government and a new Prime Minister, but simply changing the faces in power will not necessarily make much difference, believes Crawford, who says there are obvious similarities between Italy and Greece.
“All the countries in the eurozone which are getting these debt difficulties are having the same problem. This is because they are in the eurozone and cannot devalue their currencies. In effect they are left with borrowing money from the international market and the other eurozone members. They are left with reducing government spending, which is sacking people, which is not popular with the people who are sacked. They are reduced to putting up taxes, which is not popular with everyone else," he explained.
“Once you’ve got into these very strong difficult debt situations, the ways out are all very painful. So in both Greece and Italy and in some other eurozone countries the choices available to the leaders of the countries concerned are very limited. That is why the eurozone is coming under stress – because the political and psychological pressures are coming up against the way the whole thing was set up in the first place,” he added.
Crawford emphasized that the crisis in Europe is like an impressive house where the foundations, it turns out, were not very well built. And it is very difficult to repair the foundations while inside the house and without moving somewhere else.
“And the euro members cannot go anywhere else,” he said. “The eurozone is coming under stress – you can see this would not have been happening two or three years ago. It is going to be very difficult, I do not think there will be any easy options. The option that most people seem to favor is that the European Central Bank should print a lot of money, but there are clear policy problems with doing that on the scale required. Europe has to find a way to become a lot more credible.”
Patrick Young, Executive Director of the investment firm DV Advisors, said that changing the prime minister will not immediate solve Italy’s problems – as its real problem is a huge amount of debt, which it needs to sell in the near future.
“The markets have lost faith not just in Italy, but in Europe’s so called political leadership, who are doing anything but leading,” he told RT.
As for Greece, it must default on its debt to get a “wholesale restructuring.” But at the root of the problem are banks in France and Germany, which do not want to lose their money, he said.
“Greek people need to secure their own destiny and decide what they want to do, because piling austerity on austerity is just going to lead to more militancy and, tragically, people starving in the streets.”
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In this case, the leadership of the Greece and Italy have to ask for their compensate being part of the euro zone to lose their monetary policies.
The difference between countries like UK and Italy is just the currency i the UK´s case the pound will loose some of its value and possibility for a export based rebound exists while Italy has the euro which will remain the same thus forcing them into a Greek style debt increase coupled with a steadily shrinking economy.











The bottom line is not only that Greece, Italy and especially Spain must learn (how) to export more than they import and to spend less than they earn but to get rid of their antediluvian bureaucracies that hitherto circumscribed people's spirits and creativity, work ethics, resourcefulness and enthusiasm and therefore actual economic progress. In Britain a couple of 18 year olds can constitute a limited company (or even a plc) to do business in less than 24hours with less than £100 without the need of a lawyer or the dreaded 'notary' and the permission of the so-called democratic authorities. Laws in Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain have to be radically revamped and if possible do away with the older generation who are holding onto power. People in these countries would be much better off only if they could manage to feel less entitled and proud, for they have nothing to be proud of, and adopt some humility. Pride goeth before a fall and they fell flat on their faces.