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Venezuelan golden retreat could lead to dire trouble

Published: 19 August, 2011, 06:39

Hugo Chavez (AFP Photo / Presidencia)

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TAGS: EU, South America, UK, Politics, USA, Alice Hibbert, Global economy


President Hugo Chavez wants all of Venezuela’s gold now held in European and American banks to be returned to Caracas. It would be the largest physical movement of gold in recent history.

­Chavez said he is trying to protect his country from the financial woes on both sides of the Atlantic.

The move is in line with the nationalization of Venezuela’s gold industry. But Chavez has a broader plan to repatriate his country's gold bars and shift most of its cash reserves out of Western nations to political allies including China, Russia and Brazil.

Author and researcher Adrian Salbuchi believes there is a double reading on this.

“First of all, there is a financial one, and then you see a political one,” Salbuchi told RT. “The financial one is really quite simple, seeing the way the markets are going, seeing the way the European Union’s and the United States’ economies are going.”

“Venezuela is the 13th largest holder of gold in the world,” he added. “From a financial aspect, I think it is a very shrewd and intelligent move to protect his country’s gold assets. There is, however, a political overtone in that he wants to pull out the other financial assets that Venezuela has in the UK, in the US, and push it into what he calls ‘more likable allies’ – Russia, China and Brazil.”

Salbuchi says he fears the Venezuelan president might have not measured the potential risk and consequences of such a move.

This is an outright attack on the US, UK and the European Union as major financial markets, as major areas of safety to keep your gold,” he said. “If this could start a run on keeping gold in the US, UK, European Union and Switzerland, this might have much more dire consequences than Mr. Chavez imagines.”

“This might be a triggering mechanism that might even justify a political move to start regime change throughout Latin America, which would no doubt start with Venezuela,” he warned. “Actions such as this could very well be the triggers for grave geopolitical actions.”

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Hector Fattorini August 20, 2011, 04:54
0

Mr Chávez is right for (at least) two reasons. (a) Libya's assets have been de facto expropriated by American and European banks. The same could happen to Venezuela (or to any other country for any reason real or trumped up). (b) At a time where there could be a run on American and European banks at any time, it is not prudent to keep you money in them.


It remains to be seen whether Venezuela will actually physically recover its gold.

justnfree August 19, 2011, 22:35
0

Why should venezula's gold be in European or American banks anyway? Are they reliable to give it back to the real owners when they want it back? Did they returned Saddam's money to Iraqi's? Mubarak's money to Egyptians, Gaddafi's money, Shah's money and many many others

Patrick (unregistered) August 19, 2011, 15:40
0

        One of the pre-requisites of being a leader is to interprete world events correctly. With the topsy-turvy swings and economic uncertainty, especially in the United States and the Eurozone, Chavez's interpritation is right. This is the time to make sure Venezuela gold reserves are where he wants them to be.

       Would Salbuchi keep his own valuables with 'enemies' who with any flimpsy excuse, could seize it? Chavez is only being practical.